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LET’S PUT THAT INTO PERSPECTIVE The NYT had a nice infographic entitled “The typical American lives only 18 miles from mom“. They’re saying the median distance to mom is 18 miles. But when you look at the data in greater depth (thanks to the graph in the article, which we reproduce above), it looks like […]
JUST ABOUT EVERYONE GOT IT WRONG, SOME CLASSES OF PREDICTIONS WERE LESS WRONG We know Decision Science News isn’t your main news source and assume you know that Donald Trump surprised many and won the election last night. Models like the Princeton Election Consortium, which put Clinton’s probability of winning at 99%, probably need re-examining. […]
A distribution builder is a tool to elicit probability distributions from people. Now you can make your own.
If you know R, you could building simple, accurate decision rules today with this sweet new package.
It just got a lot easier to simulate the performance of simple heuristics.
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Here’s a tool that encourages simple, forceful writing.
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We experimented with every aspect of making coffee. What we found surprised us.
The Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA) will host a Proposers’ Day Conference for the Crowdsourcing Evidence, Argumentation, Thinking and Evaluation (CREATE) Program on June 30, 2015, in anticipation of the release of a new solicitation in support of the Program.
We present the new “choose an airline loyalty program” tool for 2015. It has graphical hotness.
The question often arises: What is the best decision science food? It’s the Romeo and Juliet sandwich, an adaptation of the popular Brazilian desert “Romeu e Julieta”.
