How good are your estimation skills?
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HARVARD CENTER FOR RISK ANALYSIS QUIZ ON CAUSES OF DEATH
The folks at Risk World let me know about this mini-quiz on odds of various causes of death at Harvard’s Center for Risk Analysis.
It’s a lot more fun if you take the time before going to that page to complete the following quiz.
The annual risk of dying from the following causes is 1 in ___:
heart disease ___
cancer ___
stroke ___
accidents of all kinds ___
motor vehicle accident ___
Alzheimerâs disease ___
alcohol ___
suicide ___
homicide ___
food poisoning ___
drowning ___
fire ___
bicycle accident ___
lightning ___
bioterrorism ___
Risks of death are a popular topic among judgment and decision making crowd, the most common reference being to:
Slovic, P., B. Fischhoff, and S. Lichtenstein (1982), Facts Versus Fears: Understanding Perceived Risk, in D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, and A. Tversky (eds.), Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
